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Syria: cutting ties with Bashar, a tactical error?

(BRUSSELS2) Have some European officials made an error of judgement, a tactical error or acted hastily, by calling for the departure of Assad from the start of the events in Syria? In any case, this is the feeling of a European diplomat. By demanding a change, and the departure of its leader, we have " cut all certain bridges or the possibility of a dialogue explains this expert to B2. The Syrian leader, who does not consider his departure as negotiable and considers himself the legitimate leader, has therefore considered Western points of view, France, the United Kingdom and the United States as "hostile" and has walled himself in A " refusal of dialogue ". The fear of a change in power, à la Libyan, did the rest. All that remained was the much more difficult and delicate confrontation with the Russian (and Chinese) opposition in the Security Council to any resolution not only on military intervention but also on a change in the form of government. This fear is also present and explains the Russian position which refuses in principle this intrusion by force into the regimes in place. A bit like in Georgia or Ukraine, she fears that we are trying to reshape the regimes, by putting leaders more pro-Western than Eastern, to review the "front" lines.

Too late

« Now it is very late. There are far too many dead to hope for a quick pacification. Even the Libyan scenario, with the reconstitution of an army and liberated territories, seems tricky to undertake. And the closures of embassies - like that of the United Kingdom declared today - bode ill for a dialogue.

Nicolas Gros Verheyde

Chief editor of the B2 site. Graduated in European law from the University of Paris I Pantheon Sorbonne and listener to the 65th session of the IHEDN (Institut des Hautes Etudes de la Défense Nationale. Journalist since 1989, founded B2 - Bruxelles2 in 2008. EU/NATO correspondent in Brussels for Sud-Ouest (previously West-France and France-Soir).

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