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[Editorial] Watch out for a new migration crisis to come

(B2) Europeans are playing with fire in the Middle East. If they are not careful, tomorrow they could find themselves with the “worst migration crisis” that the European Union has ever known. Compared to this, the crisis of 2015-2015 could almost appear contained

Migrants arriving from Athens to the border between Greece and Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (FYROM).

The only way out: Egypt

The Israeli desire today is in fact to put an end to the confines of Gaza, to push its inhabitants to flee... The latest bombings prove it. The will displayed by certain Israeli leaders too. Egypt is the only possible exit route. The northern land route and the sea route are blocked by Israel. However, the Egyptian government made this clear to the High Representative of the EU as well as to the few European leaders who came to Cairo. There is no question of welcoming these Palestinians. For political reasons. This would destroy the peace process based on a two-State solution. But also for internal and security reasons. This would mean suffering an infiltration of Islamic movements at odds with the al-Sissi regime which proscribed the Muslim Brotherhood and others.

Countries in the region reluctant

There really isn't any alternative solution. No other country in the region is currently willing to welcome these refugees. For the same reasons. To which is added another: they are overwhelmed. If between 2012 and 2015 they welcomed hundreds of thousands of Syrians seeking asylum with open arms, they are not ready to repeat this gesture now (especially for the Palestinians). Jordan believes that it has also done what was necessary. Lebanon is bloodless. Turkey has done its utmost by already hosting several million Syrians on its soil.

Boats to Europe

For Cairo, the solution is therefore found. If Egypt finds itself forced, in spite of itself (because the pressure will be too strong on the Rafah borders), to take in Palestinians from Gaza, they will quickly be put on boats: heading to Europe. However, welcoming such a population, a little less than two million strong, filled with a certain bitterness, with a possible desire for revenge, and which includes within its ranks some notorious extremists, trained in the handling of weapons, the terrorist intelligentsia, will not be easy for Europeans. Tel Aviv, Beirut and Cairo know it, the Europeans have been warned. To the wise...

(Nicolas Gros-Verheyde)

Nicolas Gros Verheyde

Chief editor of the B2 site. Graduated in European law from the University of Paris I Pantheon Sorbonne and listener to the 65th session of the IHEDN (Institut des Hautes Etudes de la Défense Nationale. Journalist since 1989, founded B2 - Bruxelles2 in 2008. EU/NATO correspondent in Brussels for Sud-Ouest (previously West-France and France-Soir).

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