Blog AnalysisRussia Caucasus Ukraine

The Russian army massed in eastern Ukraine to go to Transnistria, uh...

(BRUSSELS2) Very recently, NATO Commander-in-Chief, General Philip M. Breedlove, estimated that Russian troops massed in eastern Ukraine could threaten Transnistria, located 800 km to the west! It’s an ingenious method of communication. In military matters, it seems more complicated to me, unless you want…. invade Ukraine. I am not an expert in military tactics. But... This makes me think of certain Franco-German wars, where we feared the arrival of the Germans from the East because they were massing troops while it was so easy to pass through the flat country to the north. I don't know eastern Ukraine but I know a little about Transnistria and Odessa having traveled a few roads there (*).

Let's look at the cards...

Do the exercise, take a map, crossing the whole of Ukraine to send troops to Transnistria doesn't really seem like the most brilliant idea... First of all, because there are already Russian troops in Transnistria who control this narrow strip of territory without much problem. Then, if we want to transport others, or carry out reliefs (which can be problematic today), it seems simpler to leave from Crimea, closer, to disembark near Odessa, at Illichivs'k and then take the M14 road (local dual carriageway) which is a few dozen km from Transnistria. Along the way, we cut off the narrow part of Ukrainian territory bordering Moldova, not far from Gagauzia, and we surround Odessa a little. After there is a movement starting from the East, and another from the West, it is military tactics. And that’s beyond me 🙂

Map TiraspolOdessaCrimea

(*) Read the report made in 2008

Nicolas Gros Verheyde

Chief editor of the B2 site. Graduated in European law from the University of Paris I Pantheon Sorbonne and listener to the 65th session of the IHEDN (Institut des Hautes Etudes de la Défense Nationale. Journalist since 1989, founded B2 - Bruxelles2 in 2008. EU/NATO correspondent in Brussels for Sud-Ouest (previously West-France and France-Soir).

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